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Posts Tagged ‘ema’

Significant Daily EMA’s you should watch

Friday, November 6th, 2009

This is the first post in a series about different tips & tricks that you can add to your trading arsenal.

Today I’ll be talking about Daily moving averages. Moving averages are indicators that display the average price movement. Basically, if the moving average is pointing up, you have an uptrend and if it’s pointing down, you have a downtrend.

There are two main types of moving averages that traders use and those are simple moving averages (SMA) and exponential moving averages (EMA). Most traders apply the averages to the close price. Basically, a 50 day SMA applied on the closing prices works like this: it adds all the closing prices for the last 50 days and divides them by 50, obtaining an average closing price for that 50 day period. For each 50 day period, it plots a line on your chart between the previous 50 day average closing price and the current one. The EMA works the same way, just that it adds more weight to the more recent days, so it’s less lagging than an SMA. Take a look at the chart below, as we’ll be using this one for our explanations. The blue line on the chart is the 50 day EMA:

50, 100, 260 D1 EMA's

50, 100, 260 D1 EMA's

As you can see, the 50 day blue EMA provided excellent points of support lately, in this bullish EURUSD rally. I always watch this EMA and when price reaches it, I look on a lower timeframe to find a good entry in the direction of the trend.

The other EMA’s I suggest you should be adding to your charts are the 100 and 260 day EMA’s. The dark khaki line is the 100 day EMA and the orange line is the 260 day EMA. These also provide good support/resistance levels once the 50 day EMA is broken, especially the 260 day EMA, which is very important, since 260 is roughly the number of trading days in a year, so that means it’s a 1 year EMA.

Besides using these as support/resistance, you can also use them to gauge the medium and long term market trends. Basically, when the price is above one of these EMA’s and that EMA is pointing upwards, you are in an uptrend. When price is below and the EMA angle is pointing down, you’re in a downtrend. When the EMA is (or almost is) horizontal, you’re in a sideway trend (ranging market). I consider the 50 day EMA shows me the medium term and the other two I use for the long term view. Right now, EURUSD is in an uptrend.